Can an open GPhone kill the restrictive iPhone?

Imagine you buy a car that comes with a 2 year warranty on defective parts and 3 free servicing trips. But what if those were valid only if you filled fuel from a specified provider - say Indian Oil or Shell? Or you buy a DVD player or home theater that can only play movies produced by Universal? Sounds ridiculous, right?

I've always been surprised how Apple gets away with its restrictive policies while Microsoft gets dragged into court over anti-trust laws for anything and everything. Until recently, you couldn't run Windows on a Mac, while you could always run even Linux on a PC. You could choose whether you wanted an Intel or AMD processor to power your PC, but no such choice with the Mac, until recently. iPod doesn't work with anything except iTunes. And the iPhone doesn't work with any cellular service provider except AT&T.

Apple_iPhone2_270x202 It was one thing with computers, but another with cell phones. The cell phone market is much, much bigger. How long will this restrictive practice of binding you to a specific service provider work? The reasons why Apple did it are clear. Apple gets a monthly revenue cut from AT&T for each iPhone user. Though some say that there are alleged benefits to this restrictive policy, it just doesn't cut it for me. After all, these revenues are not comparable to what Apple gets from the actual sale of iPhones.

Well, the inevitable has already happened. The iPhone is now unlocked. What this means is that anyone anywhere in the world can buy an iPhone in the US (or get their friends to buy it for them) and use it in their country. Yes, so you can now use the iPhone in India. Read the original Engadget news here. The second image below shows the iPhone working with the T-Mobile service provider in the US.

Is it illegal in the US to unlock your iPhone? Engadget says no, as long as you're doing it for your personal benefit, and and agree to forego your warranty and Apple support. Predictably, the second team developing such an unlocking software has already received threatening calls from AT&T's legal team. Being one of the worst service providers in the US in terms of quality, they need to get their act together quickly!

How will the iPhone be marketed outside the US? How can Apple force consumers in Europe and fastest growing cellular phone markets like India to select Apple's choice of service provider? I just don't think it's possible. And if that's true, can Apple have different marketing strategies for the US and outside the US?Can the iPhone withstand competition if an equally sophisticated telephone were to offer users their choice of providers?iphone-unlocked-01

The Business Standard has just broken a story that has made headlines all over cyberspace. It says the Google Phone, or GPhone, is just two weeks away from an international launch:

Talks are believed to be taking place with Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Essar, respectively India’s first and third largest mobile telephony operators, and state-owned Bharat Sanchar Nigam.
Sources close to the development said a simultaneous launch across the US and Europe is expected, and announcements would be sent to media firms in India and other parts of the world. US regulatory approval, which is expected soon, is the only hurdle that Google is waiting to cross, they added. Google plans to invest $7-8 billion for its global telephony foray.

TechCrunch gives a nice summary of the history of the GPhone rumors and says that a 3G GPhone worldwide release can be a strong competitor to the iPhone. Also see this ComputerWorld article that quotes the Wall Street Journal. If you're skeptic about whether Google will indeed foray into consumer electronics, or simply want to know how studying a company's job listings is being used for competitive analysis, I'd highly recommend this Forbes article.

So, will the GPhone kill the iPhone? I believe it can, provided Google comes up with something comparable to the iPhone. And just like Apple eased its restrictive policies with other products, I think it will soon have to warm up to the competition in this case.

Photo Credits: CNET, Engadget.


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12 Comments

  • Anti-trust — it becames an issue only if you are a monop­oly or accused of being one. You can­not com­pare it to Apple and the iPhone here.

    The restricted avail­abil­ity of the iPhone (and of all wire­less com­pa­nies to AT&T — lol!) is indeed some­what puz­zling — but I can think of a cou­ple of rea­sons why Apple may have gone for this:
    1. The restric­tion meant lim­ited avail­abil­ity which feeds the hype more or an imme­di­ate dud — but I think they had a feel­ing given iPod’s suc­cess. You hit a home run with the design, then peo­ple rave and drool. It increases demand soon out­weigh­ing the sup­ply over­whelm­ingly, and it will become a rage, a mania. And that’s exactly what it was. In a sense, it is like those “lim­ited edi­tion”, “lim­ited avail­abil­ity” cars. In some cases they are awarded “instant clas­sic” sta­tus the year they hit the mar­ket.
    2. AT&T needed it more than Apple. In other words, AT&T needed the Apple hype more. It left the mar­ket and is reentering.

    But still Apple — to AT&Twireless? Come on!

  • Ian from www.thenewsroom.com wrote:

    Not when folks are come­ing out with meth­ods like this: http://thenewsroom.com/details/633981?c_id=wom-bc-js

  • Arun: Antitrust is def­i­nitely an issue here. Antitrust laws also apply to busi­ness prac­tices that ‘attempt to monop­o­lize’. It is not required that one should be estab­lished or accused of being a monop­oly for the antitrust laws to apply. US Con­gress has already had hear­ings on the issue. The AT&T-Apple deal for the iPhone may con­sti­tute what is termed as ille­gal tying in antitrust nomenclature.

    This is in fact said to be a pos­si­ble legal offen­sive against Apple’s tightly con­trolled ecosys­tem strat­egy. This blog arti­cle fur­ther rumi­nates about the deal’s antitrust impli­ca­tions in EU and India.

    Regard­ing your com­ments about restricted avail­abil­ity — I’m not sure if the iPhone avail­abil­ity was restricted in terms of num­bers or vol­umes. You are right on spot regard­ing AT&T need­ing it more — I think they’ll be more des­per­ate than Apple about the hack!

  • I would think that Apple is not likely to get dragged into an anti-trust law­suit till it has a mar­ket pen­e­tra­tion of 70% or above, which it is not likely to have with the iphone or the mac range of com­put­ers. MS has a 90+ % mar­ket share of Win­dows, which explains why bundling IE with it was such a restric­tive move.
    But on the other hand, the ipod does com­mand a huge mar­ket share. But the restric­tions on the ipod are mostly because of the music pub­lish­ers — uni­ver­sal, bmg and co, and not because of apple. They insist on DRM. The prob­lem with music from other providers (other than iTunes) is sim­ply the use of a dif­fer­ent kind of DRM. It will be mighty dif­fi­cult for Apple to sup­port 10 dif­fer­ent kinds of DRM when Jobs him­self believes that DRM is a stu­pid idea. In fact, DRM-free music from any­where (as long as its mp3, aac or a stan­dard for­mat) does play on the ipod with no problems.

  • Ashok, I agree with you as far as the US is con­cerned, regard­ing both the iPod and iPhone. I don’t know if such a single-provider exclu­siv­ity deal will work for the iPhone in the EU though.

  • I am SO happy to hear that I can get an iPhone to India. Tell me you are not kid­din’ me?!
    You mean I can use it as a reg­u­lar phone with any provider, using a SIM card??
    IMHO, the iPhone has already reached an iconic sta­tus, prob­a­bly more than the iPod. Hence the GPhone is not going to cut it for those keen on the iPhone.

  • Ram­bodoc: yes, you can! You just have to buy the unlock­ing soft­ware (price not known yet).

    The news is too fresh to know the ram­i­fi­ca­tions if you do use the unlock­ing soft­ware. Will Apple develop a block for it? We don’t know.

    I don’t think the iPhone has reached an iconic sta­tus yet. It hasn’t grabbed any sig­nif­i­cant mar­ket share in the US. Folks are just too unhappy being forced to use AT&T.

    What if they force you to use a cer­tain provider in India? Will it become as pop­u­lar as the iPod?

  • mahen­dra — iPhone is a new prod­uct from a com­pany enter­ing a new mar­ket. I don’t under­stand the “attempt to monop­o­lize” bit. For starters, they at least would have to pre­vent AT&T from sell­ing any other phone. Right now, it is just another high-end phone in the mar­ket — but one that has grabbed a lot of atten­tion. Black­ber­ries are still very pop­u­lar. For the lower-end, I see RAZRs everywhere.

    Also, the fact that AT&T is just one wire­less provider is a fairly big fac­tor in lim­it­ing the avail­abil­ity in the US. They have very strong com­peti­tors like Ver­i­zon, T-Mobile etc. The wire­less provider mar­ket is crowded with no clear leader. How­ever, take the Black­ber­ries and Motorola RAZRs. They are avail­able from all these guys — that’s the dif­fer­ence with iPhone. But, this is not new. I have seen ads like “Get the new blah-blah phone. Avail­able ONLY from Verizon/T-Mobile”. Even now, not every model, every color is avail­able from every provider. So this game has been played by oth­ers too for a while. I think Apple and AT&T are quite safe here.

    With Microsoft, I believe one of things which got them in trou­ble is that even though they had almost all mar­ket share, they forced PC man­u­fac­tures to fork money to them even if they installed Linux and sold it. So they made money whether their OS or another OS was sold with every PC :)

  • Arun, let me try to make my per­spec­tive more clear:

    1. There is a dif­fer­ence between dis­cussing the a> like­li­hood that Apple will get into trou­ble with Antitrust laws, and b> legal­ity of Apple’s tie-up with AT&T in the con­text of antitrust laws. I com­pletely agree with you and Ashok that Apple is not likely to get into trou­ble in the US.

    2. How­ever, as I’ve pointed out even in the com­ments, I do not think Apple will so eas­ily get away (with such a deal) with the anti-competitive EU laws.

    3. Even if Apple is not likely to get into trou­ble in the US, I was dis­cussing the applic­a­bil­ity of antitrust laws in this case purely from an aca­d­e­mic per­spec­tive. “Attempt to monop­o­lize” means the antitrust laws are applic­a­ble to any new prod­uct from any new com­pany enter­ing any new market.

    4. Apple doesn’t have to pre­vent AT&T from any­thing to get into trou­ble. If you read the “ille­gal tying” link in my pre­vi­ous com­ment, it will help. “A tying arrange­ment is an agree­ment by a party to sell one prod­uct but only on the con­di­tion that the buyer also pur­chases a dif­fer­ent product.”

    5. Ads like “get new blah-blah phone, avail­able ONLY from Verizon/T-Mobile” do not con­sti­tute ille­gal tying. Because you can choose to use any other phone you like with their ser­vice too. If Verizon/T-Mobile force you to choose a par­tic­u­lar phone if you want to sub­scribe to their ser­vice, then it will fall under the ille­gal tying cat­e­gory. I do not think AT&T forces you to choose the iPhone either, so AT&T is not in any trouble.

    6. Regard­ing Microsoft, I com­pletely dis­agree. They didn’t earn a penny from PC mak­ers who did not ship PCs installed with DOS/Windows. The fact is that almost all PC mak­ers installed DOS and then Win­dows, and some users installed Linux after­wards. Those PC mak­ers who did not install OEM-licensed Microsoft prod­ucts didn’t have to shell out any­thing to Microsoft. It all started with IBM, who had mar­ket share, and agreed to install DOS on every PC. But we digress…

    7. And while we’re on this topic, let me also make it clear that I’m against US antitrust laws in their present shape. I’m all the more aghast when they’re used in a dis­crim­i­na­tory fash­ion, depend­ing upon which lobby is pay­ing how much to whom in Washington.

  • But mahen­dra — I guess I don’t get it. Where is the attempt to monop­o­lize *the mar­ket*? Regard­ing EU and ille­gal tie-ups, I will con­fess ignorance.

    #6: I may be remem­ber­ing things wrong, but I thought Win­dows’ OEM pric­ing was depen­dent on this and it was one of the issues raised in the case. Of course, the pri­mary thing was they were using their share on one mar­ket (OS) where they were con­sid­ered a monop­oly, to enter and take-over other mar­kets (browser, media-player).

    #7: That applies to many many things in the US :)

  • Arun, I give up try­ing to explain further…:-)

    #6: Regard­ing Microsoft, OEM pric­ing was depen­dent on the vol­ume of PCs with Win­dows sold and vol­ume of PCs with­out Win­dows sold. Those sell­ing higher Win­dows PCs were given bet­ter OEM rates. That is com­pletely dif­fer­ent from what you’ve alleged above — that they made money whether Win­dows was installed on the PC or not. Please see the Wiki arti­cle on the crit­i­cism of Microsoft’s OEM licens­ing.

    #7: Yes, I know! :-)

  • […] restric­tive and intru­sive for me to pur­chase. I am not going to get into it but you can read more HERE and HERE and […]